WE don’t yet know when or where the highly charged ejecta from a solar eruption yesterday will hit Earth, but we know it will.
The flare, rated X-1 on the solar weather forecaster’s scale, is rated “extreme” — but only just.
Forecasters don’t yet know when the solar storm — which erupted from the Sun’s surface late Wednesday — will arrive here or which part of the planet will be facing the brunt of the effects. It could arrive as early as this afternoon Australian time, or may take a few days.
Scientists will have a better idea after they get more satellite data.
Solar flares in the “extreme” scale can cause geomagnetic storms capable of bringing down power grids, damaging satellites and disrupting radio transmissions.
More often, the only effect is to brighten the auroras over the north and southern hemispheres.
It’s been several years since Earth has had a solar storm of this size coming from sunspots smack in the middle of the sun, said Tom Berger, director of the Space Weather Prediction Center in Boulder, Colorado.
Solar storms happen often, especially during peaks in the solar cycle, and don’t directly harm people. But what makes this one more worrisome is its location on the Sun along with its strength, he said.
“There’s been a giant magnetic explosion on the Sun,” Berger said. “Because it’s pointed right at us, we’ll at least catch some of the cloud” of highly energised and magnetised plasma that can disrupt Earth’s magnetic sphere, which sometimes leads to temporary power grid problems.
The first part of the storm, which arrives in only a few minutes, has already affected radio transmissions. It can also damage satellites.