Daily News
23125
Gold Falls to Six - Week Low 
by Herald Sun   
August 1st, 2014
GOLD prices have closed at their lowest level in six weeks, after  jobless claims data pointed to a potentially strong US employment number  for July. 
GOLD for December delivery, the most actively traded contract, on  Thursday fell $US14.10, or 1.1 per cent, to $US1,282.80 a troy ounce,  the lowest level since June 19 on the Comex division of the New York  Mercantile Exchange.
 
The number of US workers claiming unemployment  aid rose less than expected last week, hovering near a 14-year low  reached earlier in July and indicating the economy continues to slowly  find its feet. The Federal Reserve, which has a mandate to boost  employment while keeping inflation under control, is closely watching  the labour market as the central bank rolls back its bond-buying program  and starts to debate when to raise interest rates. Higher rates would  hurt gold, which has no yield and would struggle to compete with other  haven assets, such as Treasury bonds.
Another sign that the economy may be heating up was employers' labour  costs, which rose at the fastest rate in nearly six years in the second  quarter.
The data came on the heels of Wednesday's  better-than-expected US gross domestic product (GDP) growth, which  showed the economy rebounded sharply in the second quarter after a slow  start in the beginning of 2014. A statement from the Federal Reserve on  Wednesday delivered a modestly more upbeat assessment of the economy,  stirring more speculation about higher interest rates and hurting gold  further.
The numbers suggest Friday's widely followed nonfarm  payrolls report for July may beat expectations, a negative development  for gold. Many investors believe the report offers the clearest picture  of the state of the US recovery.
"All of this recent data taken  together is really a nail in the coffin for gold," said James Cordier, a  principal at Liberty Trading.
"Psychology has turned. People are truly thinking about higher interest rates."
Another bad sign for gold is the metal's failure to hold its gains,  despite rising tensions between the West and Russia and bloody conflicts  in Ukraine, Iraq and Israel, investors said. Some investors buy gold as  a hedge against political or economic uncertainty, believing it will  hold its value better than other assets.
A stronger US dollar is  also hurting prices for gold, with the greenback at a near nine-month  high against the euro and an almost four-month high against the yen.
"The dollar has rallied and gold has broken," said Ira Epstein, a strategist at the Linn Group.
"It's looking more and more as though August will prove difficult for  gold, as events that you'd expect to provide gold with a price lift  haven't done so."
Gold prices dropped 28 per cent in 2013, as  many traders anticipated that the Federal Reserve would roll back its  stimulus efforts, a decision it announced in December. The central  bank's bond-buying effort was a key support for gold prices in recent  years as investors flocked to the precious metal as a hedge against  inflation, a risk associated with loose monetary policy.
Settlements (ranges include open-outcry and electronic trading):
London PM Gold Fix: $USUS1,285.25; previous PM $US1,294.50
Dec gold $US1,282.80, down $US14.10; Range $US1,281.30-$US1,298.80
Sep silver $US20.412, down 18.5 cents; Range $US20.370-$US20.780
Oct platinum $US1,465.20, down $US16.70; Range $US1,463.10-$US1,484.40
Sep palladium $US873.70, down $US6.45; Range $US870.35-$US883.45