
The  gruesome video released by the Islamic State (ISIS or ISIL) emphasizes  that the beheading of Peter Kassig took place in the town of Dabiq,  Syria. The town was chosen because of its significance in Islamic  end-of-time prophecies about the time when the Mahdi and (the Islamic  version of) Jesus will bring victory over those who oppose sharia.
 
 The Islamic State named its English-language magazine “Dabiq” for  the same reason. The group is telling Muslims that it is fulfilling  prophecy, enticing them to participate in one of the most important  moments in world history.
 
 A secondary message is that Islamic State supporters should not  worry about the military superiority of their enemy or the terrorist  group’s setbacks because they will soon be made victorious with help  from the Mahdi, Islam’s messianic figure, and Jesus (when he joins  Islam, which he will according to Islamic prophecy).
 
 “Here we are, burying the first American Crusader in Dabiq,  eagerly waiting for the remainder of your armies to arrive,” says one  Islamic State speaker.
 
 The video features an excerpt from a sermon by Abu Musab  al-Zaraqawi, the leader of the Islamic State’s predecessor, Al-Qaeda in  Iraq, until he was killed by a U.S. airstrike on June 7, 2006.
 
 “The spark has been lit here in Iraq, and its heat will continue  to intensify…until it burns the Crusader armies in Dabiq,” Zaraqawi  preached.
 
 Then, for a third time, another Islamic State member says to the West, “We are waiting for you in Dabiq.”
 
 The statements are a reference to prophecies in the hadith, the  collection of sayings and actions attributed to Mohammed, the Holy  Prophet of Islam.
 
 One collector of the hadith, Sahih Muslim, states, “The Last Hour  would not come until the Romans would land at al-A’maq or in Dabiq.”
 
 When the Islamic State refers to President Obama as the “dog of  Rome” in the video, they are making the case that the U.S. is the modern  equivalent of the Roman Empire and American military action in the  Middle East is the actualization of this prophecy.
 
 The Islamic State draws a parallel between its own actions and the  details of the prophecy. The hadith states that Dabiq will be  controlled by the “best” Islamic soldiers from Mecca, Saudi Arabia. They  will capture “Romans” (i.e., Americans), which will lead to a foreign  attack.
 
 The Brookings Institute points out that the Islamic State  immediately presented its capture of Dabiq in April as part of this  prophecy. The group’s supporters distributed pictures on social media of  the seized hilltop with the text of the prophecy.
 
 The Islamic State’s beheadings of Peter Kassig and the other  Americans are not only justifiable acts of jihad in their opinion. They  are also acts designed to provoke an assault on them as prophesized. In  their eyes, a U.S. military response is actually desirable, as it  fulfills this prophecy.
 
 The prophecy states that the Romans will arrive at Dabiq and tell  all the Muslims to stand aside so that they can fight only those Muslims  who took the captives. The Muslims will then unite against the Romans.  The Islamic State is hoping that this will come to fruition.
 
 When the battle begins, according to the prophecy, about one-third  of the Muslim forces will flee (“whom Allah will never forgive”),  one-third will die as “excellent martyrs” and the remaining one-third  will win the battle and then conquer Constantinople (now Istanbul,  Turkey).
 
 If Islamic State supporters believe this prophecy is about them,  then they will not be discouraged by the current U.S. military action,  high death tolls and desertions. They will actually be encouraged by it  because they believe it will ultimately bring victory.
 
 According to the prophecy, what follows this victory in Dabiq and  Turkey is the appearance and final defeat of the Islamic version of the  Antichrist, called the Dajjal, at the hands of (the Islamic) Jesus.
 
 To most Westerners, it sounds fanciful to suggest that the Islamic  State believes it is fulfilling this prophecy, but this type of  thinking is common among Islamists.
 
 Al-Qaeda and its affiliates often talk about eliminating or  breaking "the cross." This is a reference to the same prophecies. They  are talking about paving the way for the Mahdi and the Islamic Jesus to  bring about final victory over their enemies. The terminology refers to  an Islamic prophecy where Jesus will break a cross to disprove  Christianity and absorb the religion into Islam.
 
 The Muslim Brotherhood also believes in this. IslamWeb, a website  with a fatwa bank that affirms the prophecies, salutes Muslim  Brotherhood spiritual leader Sheikh Yousef al-Qaradawi as “one of the  most eminent contemporary scholars who are recognized by their knowledge  and efforts…”
 
 Shiite Islamists also state they are fulfilling these prophecies. A  documentary produced by the office of then-Iranian President  Ahmadinejad made the case that he, along with Supreme Leader Khamenei  and Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, embodied specific characters  foretold in Islamic prophecy. Much of the film aligns with the  interpretations of Islamic prophecy by the Islamic State and Al-Qaeda.
 
 Khamenei’s news outlets likewise report on current events through  end-of-times lenses. A Lebanese reporter in an Arab publication wrote  that Iranian intervention in Syria and the ongoing civil war there is  seen by the Iranian regime and Hezbollah as setting the stage for the  appearance of the Mahdi.
 
 The U.S. and its allies must not avoid tackling the Islamic State  out of concern that doing so will reinforce its prophetic claims.  National security and human rights are at stake. Instead, the U.S. can  turn the tables using the prophecy.
 
 The validity of the Islamic State’s claims rest upon the capture  of Dabiq, the arrival of U.S. ground forces, the uniting of Muslims  behind the Islamic State and military victory over the U.S. and its  allies in the area.
 
 Therefore, we can invalidate the Islamic State’s claims by not  sending in U.S. ground forces to the area, strengthening the Islamic  State’s Muslim adversaries, forcing the group out of Dabiq and  delivering them a decisive defeat. If this happens, the Islamic State’s  proclamations of prophetic fulfillment will be discredited.
 
 The fundamental problem of Islamists seeking to trigger these  end-of-times events will remain. The Islamic State could be crushed, but  others with similar believes will arise. This entire mindset of  fulfilling prophecy through war needs to be challenged.