
 A U.S.-based  think tank has issued a report saying that a new Middle East war may be looming  on the horizon.
 A U.S.-based  think tank has issued a report saying that a new Middle East war may be looming  on the horizon. 
If hostilities do in fact break out, writes David  Schenker of The Washington Institute, “fighting could take on a regional  dimension not seen since 1973.” The prediction comes in response to reports that  Syria has supplied the Lebanon-based Hizbullah terrorist organization with  advanced Russian-made 9K38 Igla-S anti-aircraft missiles. Transfer of the  shoulder-fired ordnance to the terrorist group has previously been marked by  Israeli officials as a “red line” issue. 
Schenker also cited  pronouncements posted in late February on the internet by the Lebanon-based  Hizbullah terrorist organization hinting the group might renew its aggression  against the Jewish State. The statement followed an unprecedented trilateral  summit / dinner meeting on February 26 in Damascus between Iranian President  Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, Syrian President Bashar Assad and Hizbullah chief Hassan  Nasrallah.
A new development  
Meetings between the Syrian and Iranian presidents have become very  common in the past several years; however, Nasrallah's presence at the table  marked a new chapter in the development of the Evil Axis. Little was publicized  about the discussion, other than what was later posted on the Hizbullah website,  said Schenker, noting the account recounted “the escalating strategic response  of the axis of the confrontationist, rejectionist, and resistance states” to the  so-called U.S.-Israeli threat.
Schenker also noted Nasrallah's  sabre-rattling earlier in February, during a speech delivered on Hizbullah's  Martyred Leaders Day, in which the terrorist laid out the new strategy for  reprisals against Israel: 
“If you [meaning Israel -ed.] bomb Rafik  Hariri International Airport in Beirut, we will bomb Ben-Gurion Airport in Tel  Aviv. If you bomb our docks, we will bomb your docks. If you bomb our oil  refineries, we will bomb your oil refineries. If you bomb our factories, we will  bomb your factories. And if you bomb our power plants, we will bomb your power  plants,” Nasrallah declared. 
Recent reports that Syria has provided the terrorist group  with Scud missiles capable of reaching deep into Israel's central and southern  regions have supported and underscored Nasrallah's threats. The U.S. State  Department summoned the Syrian Ambassador, Imad Mustafa, to “inform his  government about the level of danger if the missiles crossed the border” but did  little more.
Syria 'broke the  code'
The Institute has also concluded that “Damascus has finally  broken the code to Europe, and appears to be on the verge of doing so with the  Obama administration as well. Currently, Syria appears to be in a position where  it can cultivate its ties with the West without sacrificing its support for  terrorism.”
In addition, the report noted IDF Chief of Staff Gabi  Ashkenazi's testimony in mid-March before the Knesset Foreign Affairs and  Defense Committee that Hizbullah was “building up its forces north of the Litani  [River].” Ashkenazi reported at the time that the northern border was secure and  calm, but that “this can change.”
The fact that Hizbullah continues to  stockpile weapons in violation of United Nations Security Council Resolution  1701, the ceasefire agreement that ended the 2006 Second Lebanon War, and that  Iran and Syria continue to provide the group with illegal arms, observed the  Institute, has contributed to the deterioration of the security situation in the  north. 
“Hizbullah retaliation against Israel for the 2008 assassination  of its military leader Imad Mughniyeh could spark a war,” writes Schenker. “So  could Hizbullah firing missiles in retribution for an Israeli strike against  Iranian nuclear facilities. The transfer of sensitive Syrian technology to  [Hizbullah] could also prompt an Israeli strike. Regrettably, even if Israel  continues to try and defuse tensions in the north, given the central role Tehran  has in determining Hizbullah policy, a third Lebanon war may be inevitable